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Atlanta Report
Area Construction Appears to Be
Gaining Momentum
By Chuck Green
The need to beat rising interest rates and the ongoing renewal
of downtown Atlanta are two factors expected to foster a continuing
surge of new multifamily properties in 2006.
"People want to live, work and play in one place,"
said David Schoendorf, senior vice president and Atlanta division
manager for R.J. Griffin & Co. of Atlanta.
Significant examples of the stir of residential activity
include the Twelve Atlantic Station mixed-use structure as
well as the Realm condominium. The $60 million Twelve Atlantic
Station project was completed in December, while the $55 million
Realm is expected to be finished in June.
The growth downtown is indicative of the 10-county region
as a whole. In 2005, the Atlanta metropolitan region grew
at its fastest rate in five years, according to the latest
population estimates by the Atlanta Regional Commission. ARC's
latest estimates show the population reached more than 3.8
million as of April 2005, growing by more than 97,000 during
the past year.
Previously, the largest population gain was 101,621 in 2000-2001.
Population in the Atlanta region has averaged nearly 77,000
new residents each year between 2000 and 2005.
"Atlanta now has picked up dramatically with residential
projects," said Mike Hampton, principal in charge of
Bovis Lend Lease of Atlanta.
Growth-Oriented
"We're definitely starting to see growth," said
Bill Anderson, president of Associated Builders and Contractors
of Georgia, which is based in Atlanta. "A lot of people,
if they haven't already purchased a home, are definitely looking.
People are also encouraged to move more toward the downtown
area because of its remodernization."
For instance, the $290 million Georgia Aquarium, located
near Centennial Olympic Park and the Georgia World Congress
Center, is the world's largest. It opened in November and
is expected to attract more than two million visitors to the
city in the first year and create more than 200 job opportunities.
Adding to the momentum of that area is the $96 million World
of Coca-Cola Museum, which is located next to the aquarium
and is being built by C.D. Moody Construction Co. of Atlanta.
"Projects like these create opportunity," Anderson
said. "It reflects the entertainment hub Atlanta is becoming."
Schoendorf said that to support the growth, it's incumbent
upon the city to provide additional water and sewer facilities
to meet the growing demands. "I think water and sewer
facilities will continue to be a challenge for developers,
and that impacts our industry," he added.
And then there are the rising construction costs to deal
with, Schoendorf said.
"The urban high-rise, lower price-point product that
we build in Atlanta cannot sustain the construction cost increases
we are seeing," he added. "Rising construction costs
are a reflection of factors such as availability of materials
and tightness in the labor market."
Calling it "another strong sign of economic growth,"
Hampton said the hotel sector also is expected to flex its
muscle in the metro area in 2006.
"When you build hotels, that's a good sign for the economy
because your tourism and convention business has to be working
well, as does your airport," he said. "Clearly those
two big economic drivers are working for Atlanta."
Hampton added that metropolitan Atlanta has been playing
catch-up with other regions of the Southeast largely because
of an overdose of construction related to the buildup surrounding
the 1996 Olympics.
"I think the market here has lagged behind some of the
Southeast mainly because it got so overbuilt prior to and
after the Olympics," he said.
ABC's Anderson was only cautiously optimistic about the region's
hospitality market. "We're starting to see a comeback,
although not as strong as other areas," he said. "It's
a little too soon to tell because it has been rather slow
for the past few years."
High on Health, Education
Meanwhile, contractors also are high on health care and education.
"Health care and schools are both driven by the increasing
population of metro Atlanta," Anderson said. "As
population increases, health needs, as well as the number
of schools increase."
R.J. Griffin & Co. is building a $94 million expansion
at Children's Healthcare of Atlanta at Scottish Rite, for
example. Another $51 million project, Gwinnett Medical Center
at Duluth, is targeted for completion in June.
"We've kept health care as a focus ever since we started
the company, because during difficult economic cycles, the
health-care sector seems to stay solid," said Schoendorf,
whose firm also is working on health-care projects in Savannah,
Columbus and Augusta.
Additionally, Bovis Lend Lease is slated to complete the
$73 million Emory Johns Creek Medical Center by January.
In the educational sector, W. G. Yates & Sons Construction
Co. is constructing the Georgia Institute of Technology's
$40 million Christopher W. Klaus Advanced Computing Building,
expected to be completed by summer.
And Turner Construction of Atlanta is heading for a September
completion of the $60 million Molecular Material Sciences
and Engineering Building at Georgia Tech.
Churches will also continue growing for the foreseeable future,
Schoendorf said.
His firm will begin work in April on Blackshear Baptist Church
in Hall County, a $12 million project, while construction
of the $10.2 million New Macedonia kicked off in January.
Also, an $8 million expansion of Mount Paran Church is scheduled
to complete by fall.
Caution on Office Market
Builders, however, are not quite as upbeat about the performance
of the office market in the upcoming year.
"Atlanta got hit pretty hard by the e-economy with all
the data centers and dot-comers out there," Schoendorf
said. "They were taking 50,000-sq.-ft. spaces at a pop.
When all that collapsed, it left a lot of vacant space. Obviously,
the office market still has not completely rebounded, although
we're finally starting to see signs.
"We used to build 10 or 12 high-rise office buildings
at once. I think we're another three or four years away from
getting back to where we were."
According to the most recent Atlanta Office Market Report,
published by Dorey Market Analysis Group in October, downtown
has 53 commercial office properties totaling 16.8 million
sq. ft., of which nearly 4.1 million sq. ft., or 24.2 percent,
is currently vacant. Net absorption in that quarter was 248,921
sq. ft.
"Overall, as I travel the Southeast, other areas seem
to have perked up quicker, but we're now catching up,"
Anderson said.
One sign is the 41-story, $125 million 1180 Peachtree project
recently developed by Hines of Atlanta and built by Turner.
"This building is the first significant commercial office
building to be built in Atlanta in over a decade," said
Paul Little, Turner senior vice president. "Atlanta has
a fairly healthy demand for new office space in the Midtown
and Buckhead markets, but we need to fill some space in some
attractive existing buildings before we expect to see expanded
growth in the commercial office sector in January of 2007."
Also under way is 55 Allen Plaza, by Brasfield & Gorrie
of Kennesaw, Ga.
Manpower Needed
If the metro construction market truly is to meet its potential
for 2006, builders say more workers are needed.
"There isn't enough manpower to execute the work,"
Hampton said. "There are challenges getting hourly workers
into the workforce and trained, and there are challenges of
getting enough subcontractors who have the capacity to continue
to build.
"And no one can put their finger on what's going to
happen to materials supplies because of the materials that
are going to be diverted to the Gulf Coast and regions that
were hit by Hurricane Katrina."
Anderson agreed that the hurricane put a burden on local
construction activity.
"How much of that will draw from the labor market pool?"
he asked. "Here in the Southeast, it's too early to tell.
It's a tough question, because labor already is in short supply."
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