|
2005: The Year in Construction
Past 12 Months Brought More Work
but More Problems
By Scott Judy
Construction in the Southeast, one of the nation's fastest-growing
regions, has been a mostly positive tale for awhile now.
And while a continuing uptick in construction activity in
much of the area covered by Southeast
Construction provided sufficient cause for celebration
during the past 12 months, some areas were less robust than
others.
There also were some new issues and developments that caused
some concern.
"I don't think 2005 - pre-Katrina - had any surprises,"
said Bill Pinto, president and COO for Atlanta-based Hardin
Construction Co., which does most of its work in Georgia and
Florida. "A significant amount of work was coming online
in the latter part of 2004, and 2005 has been a very busy
time for us and our industry. Everybody is busy."
Post-Katrina, of course, is another story.
Following is a look back at the good, the bad and the ugly
of 2005.
Bad News First
The industry definitely had its share of concerns to deal
with in 2005.
Early in the year, for example, the North Carolina Department
of Transportation indicated that it had spent down its state
road budget much more quickly than it had originally planned
and would need to cut as much as $600 million in projects.
Meanwhile, in Tampa, an examination of the 2004 collapse
of the reversible-lanes Lee Roy Selmon Crosstown Expressway
Bridge project eventually led to the Hillsborough County Expressway
Authority filing a $120 million lawsuit in October against
engineer URS for its role in the failure.
In Miami and Atlanta, major problems plagued two airport
terminal projects. In Miami, the Miami-Dade Aviation Department
- after hiring former Florida DOT Secretary Jose Abreu - took
over its troubled $1 billion North Terminal project from Turner-Austin
Airport Team.
And in Atlanta, the city fired the joint venture design team,
led by Leo A. Daly, responsible for the planned international
terminal there. Cost escalations were blamed for the firing,
and a countersuit was filed, both of which happened just as
Atlanta-based Delta, as well as Northwest Airlines, were filing
for bankruptcy protection on the same day.
Meanwhile, in Palm Beach County, a continuing battle between
environmentalists, the county, developers and the U.S. Army
Corps of Engineers kept the much-ballyhooed, Scripps Research
Institute campus project going back and forth between on and
off.
Though the Weitz/DPR construction team and the state broke
ground on the project in September, the project's overall
status was still in limbo, with lawsuits pending.
The costs of materials continued to rise in 2005, with subcontractors,
owners and contractors all feeling the pinch - though subs
might argue they felt it most - and some projects becoming
delayed or abandoned as a result.
"There are concerns that price increases could postpone
construction or scale back projects," said Dave Simpson,
the North Carolina building director for the Carolinas AGC.
"People with contracts without an escalating cost clause
are going to take a hit."
Some subs just couldn't overcome the issue. Havens Steel,
for example, one of the country's largest steel contractors
and a sub on the South Terminal project at Miami International
Airport, finally gave up its fight against bankruptcy and
was purchased.
Labor shortages became even more troublesome, with the much-documented
spectacular rise in the cost of housing in Florida adding
to the concern.
John Siegle, executive director for the Construction Association
of South Florida, reported that the cost of homes in South
Florida was rising so much that even project managers - in
heavy demand, especially in South Florida - were thinking
twice about working in the area and opting to live in other
parts of the country.
The workers that the contractors could attract became an
issue in '05. Reports of Immigration and Naturalization Service
jobsite raids for undocumented workers continued, with rumors
of high percentages of illegal workers being found.
Contractors were often caught in the middle, and when some
members of Congress began talking about bold efforts to end
such illegal activity and even deport undocumented workers,
contractor groups raced to Washington to stop the action in
its tracks, arguing that any restrictions would shut down
the industry.
The notion of immigration reform gathered momentum as a result,
and the U.S. Congress was considering a number of bills addressing
the issue.
"It's time for our community and this country to recognize
the value most immigrants bring," said Mark Wylie, president
and CEO of the Central Florida Chapter of Associated Builders
and Contractors in Orlando. "I believe if we deported
every undocumented worker here in the state of Florida, our
entire economy - not just construction - would grind to an
abrupt halt.
"It's time for us to embrace these workers, (and) offer
them legal documentation and temporary work permits."
Of course, hurricanes continued to vex contractors in Florida
in 2005, as they did in 2004 when four hit the state. This
year, the Sunshine State encountered another four - though
Ophelia just took a slow jaunt off the east coast for a glancing
impact before walloping the Outer Banks of North Carolina
with heavy rain.
Included in this year's count was Hurricane Katrina, which
developed quickly off the coast of Fort Lauderdale.
As it neared Florida, forecasters predicted a lot of rain
and not much wind. It proved more formidable than that, though,
and knocked down an overpass being built on Miami-Dade County's
State Road 836 that was reportedly insufficiently braced.
By the time Katrina had made its way into the Gulf of Mexico,
it quickly became a Category 4 storm - and temporarily a Category
5. It would eventually meet its date with destiny and make
landfall east of New Orleans.
Katrina Effect - The Ugly
2005 also saw the ugly - namely Hurricane Katrina, which
would become the country's costliest natural disaster, causing
the reconstruction of much of New Orleans as well as the Mississippi
Gulf Coast region.
An early damage estimate pegged the devastation at about
$125 billion - nearly four times the amount caused by 1992's
Hurricane Andrew. At one point, the federal government had
pledged as much as $62 billion in aid for relief and reconstruction,
with speculation that number could go as high as $200 billion.
Impacts on the federal deficit were expected, though some
politicians proposed minimizing the effect by cutting spending
in other areas.
The more immediate impact to the four-state region covered
by Southeast Construction
- Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and South Carolina - was
widely expected to be further escalations in materials prices,
as well as some limited availability.
"As rebuilding efforts get under way, construction should
increase in the local Gulf area, with activity well above
pre-Katrina forecast scenarios," reported Robert A. Murray,
chief economist with McGraw-Hill Construction, the publisher
of Southeast Construction.
"The fear, however, is that this very concentration
of activity could raise prices and diminish availability of
construction materials and skilled labor - and not only in
the affected area but across the entire United States."
These factors may combine to subdue construction activity,
Murray added.
"The heightened demand for materials and skilled labor
arising from rebuilding efforts in the Gulf region means reduced
availability, which will be a constraint on further growth
for construction activity," he said.
Despite this constraint, Murray added: "The U.S. economy
appears capable of absorbing the shock from Katrina, without
slipping into recession. Continued employment growth will
help the market fundamentals for such income property types
as offices, hotels and multifamily housing over the long-term."
Overall, the total value of U.S. construction starts in 2005
was still expected to increase by 6 to 7 percent compared
to 2004.
The Good
Murray's comments about the overall strength of the U.S.
economy could easily be applied to the Southeast region as
well. Through the first three quarters of 2005, McGraw-Hill
Construction reported double-digit growth figures for three
of the four states in Southeast
Construction's territory.
The numbers were: Florida - 14 percent ahead; Georgia - 12
percent improvement; North Carolina - up 11 percent; and South
Carolina - down 4 percent.
Perhaps the most frenzied pace of construction occurred in
Miami. That's where Len Mills, executive vice president of
the South Florida chapter of AGC, said, "Our guys are
so busy they can't see straight. Office buildings are coming
back. New school construction is backlogged. The condo market
is just unbelievable."
So unbelievable was Miami's condo market that it grabbed
the attention of not only the subs and contractors in the
region but also the skeptical attention of national and local
media outlets, who addressed the concern over this hot market
being overbuilt and fueled largely by speculation.
Real estate agent Mark Zilbert of Zilbert Realty Group in
Miami Beach appeared to only fuel the speculation about the
market when he created his CondoFlip product, an online system
created to enable buyers to buy, "flip" and sell
units at preconstruction.
Regardless of the debate, the reality was unreal. Southeast
Construction reported in June that, according to real-estate
services firm Cushman & Wakefield, more than 9,100 units
were under construction in Miami, while nearly 40,000 were
waiting to begin construction.
According to McGraw-Hill Construction, the 2005 activity
was at least partly the result of a 46 percent increase in
the value of new multifamily contracts started within Miami-Dade
County during 2004, with roughly $1.1 billion in new condo
starts for that county alone in '04.
And while longtime local developers such as The Related Group
of Miami were the main drivers of the South Florida condo
boom, the trend became a staple of construction throughout
the metropolitan areas of the Southeast. Atlanta, West Palm
Beach, Fort Lauderdale, Tampa, Orlando and Jacksonville were
among the cities experiencing strong surges in this type of
activity.
One of the highest-profile projects was unveiled in Tampa
in January, when Donald Trump and SimDag-RoBEL announced plans
to build a $220 million, 52-story luxury condo in downtown
Tampa.
But Southeast construction
activity certainly wasn't limited to condos only.
Health-care construction continued to show a strong pulse,
a reflection of the Southeast's growing population and the
beginnings of the retirement of the baby boomer generation.
Transportation finally got a shot in the arm, too, with the
much-anticipated reauthorization of the federal transportation
program, known this time around as the Safe, Accountable,
Flexible and Efficient Transportation Equity Act-A Legacy
for Users.
Funded at $286.5 billion overall, the law provides roughly
the following estimated amounts over its six-year life to
the four-state region: Florida - $9.2 billion; Georgia - $6.7
billion; North Carolina - $5.4 billion; and South Carolina
- $3.1 billion.
Georgia Gov. Sonny Perdue accelerated his DOT's construction
spending with the enactment of the state's Fast Forward initiative,
a bonding program that will use state and federal dollars
to accelerate approximately $15.5 billion in projects over
a six-year period.
Meanwhile, the Florida Legislature enacted Gov. Jeb Bush's
"Growth Management" program. To be implemented by
the Florida Department of Transportation, the program could
generate as much as $10 billion in additional funding for
infrastructure construction for transportation, water and
schools.
Approximately $1.5 billion is provided for 2005-2006, with
$750 million recurring annually thereafter. This amount is
in addition to FDOT's existing work program.
Meanwhile, in Charleston, S.C., the South Carolina Department
of Transportation and its contractor, Palmetto Bridge Constructors
- a joint venture of Tidewater Skanska and Flatiron Constructors
- finalized and unveiled its largest project ever, the $540
million Cooper River Bridge. The bridge features the longest
cable-stayed span in North America.
In the vertical markets, some great buildings wrapped up
and got started in 2005. In addition to the projects recognized
as part of this issue's "Best of 2005" program,
the city of Charlotte added the NBA's latest venue, a $200
million arena built by Hunt Construction Group of Indianapolis
and R.J. Leeper of Charlotte.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention continued
the complete revamping of its Atlanta campus, with a new headquarters
building - built by Skanska USA Building - and a $118 million
Emerging Infectious Diseases Laboratory - constructed by McCarthy
Building Cos.
In Miami, the Dick Corp. of Pittsburgh wrapped construction
of the $163 million Wilkie D. Ferguson Jr. U.S. Courthouse,
while Hensel Phelps Construction Co. progressed on its $75
million federal courthouse project in downtown Orlando.
What will 2006 bring? Undoubtedly some good and some bad,
but, we hope, nothing quite as ugly. Turn back to these pages
in one month to get the latest regional forecast data from
McGraw-Hill Construction.
|